Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.117414 0.139101 0.163360 0.192459 0.226372 0.264599 0.310911
2025-01-19 0.080886 0.107871 0.141468 0.186177 0.243901 0.315687 0.411473
2025-01-26 0.063538 0.093008 0.132896 0.190404 0.270687 0.378196 0.532364
2025-02-02 0.051699 0.081850 0.125617 0.193051 0.293425 0.436181 0.653147
2025-02-09 0.042783 0.072593 0.118605 0.193725 0.311915 0.488918 0.771599
2025-02-16 0.036505 0.065930 0.113918 0.196410 0.332718 0.546325 0.902548
2025-02-23 0.032452 0.062021 0.112700 0.203938 0.361427 0.618342 1.063437
2025-03-02 0.027035 0.054639 0.104318 0.197895 0.366426 0.652242 1.165915
2025-03-09 0.023510 0.050033 0.099966 0.197997 0.381510 0.703881 1.302751
2025-03-16 0.020221 0.045250 0.094465 0.195014 0.390339 0.745156 1.425337
2025-03-23 0.018308 0.042896 0.093203 0.199771 0.413831 0.814584 1.604764
2025-03-30 0.016054 0.039392 0.089075 0.198179 0.424717 0.861639 1.747312
2025-04-06 0.013780 0.035473 0.083588 0.193243 0.428791 0.897097 1.873498
2025-04-13 0.011770 0.031783 0.078019 0.187330 0.430123 0.927416 1.993170
2025-04-20 0.010754 0.030313 0.077181 0.191669 0.453614 1.004433 2.213849
2025-04-27 0.009756 0.028691 0.075723 0.194351 0.473736 1.076442 2.431225
2025-05-04 0.008769 0.026899 0.073561 0.195034 0.489372 1.140429 2.637842
2025-05-11 0.008003 0.025562 0.072316 0.197737 0.509938 1.217020 2.878767
2025-05-18 0.007541 0.025006 0.072988 0.205313 0.542931 1.324267 3.196997
2025-05-25 0.006556 0.022685 0.068598 0.199231 0.541919 1.354420 3.345162
2025-06-01 0.005930 0.021339 0.066658 0.199334 0.556302 1.421483 3.583978
2025-06-08 0.005270 0.019741 0.063738 0.196331 0.562335 1.469315 3.782212
2025-06-15 0.004929 0.019133 0.063609 0.201119 0.589338 1.570262 4.115997